
A
 combination of several factors, including a declining dollar and the 
Federal Reserve’s announcement that it would keep interest rates at 
virtually zero until late 2014, helped to send gold and silver prices 
soaring to multi-week highs. Analysts expect the upward trend to 
continue as paper currencies founder and gloomy news continues to 
dominate the economic headlines.
   
 
The spot price for 
gold was around $1,725 by 2 p.m. Eastern time after jumping more than 
$60 since the day before, up almost 30 percent from a year ago and more 
than 7.5 percent over the last 30 days. It smashed through $1,700 on 
Wednesday for the first in six weeks.
 "At the moment everything points to even higher prices, given the 
strong risk appetite, the better mood among market players, the strong 
equity markets and the weak dollar," Commerzbank analyst Daniel 
Briesemann told Reuters.
 Analysts said the single most important factor behind gold’s strong 
rally was the Federal Reserve. On Wednesday, the privately owned central
 bank promised to keep short-term interest rates at rock bottom until 
late 2014, extending the date from its previous pledge to keep rates 
down until mid-2013.
 Also bullish for gold — and bearish for the U.S. dollar, of course — was Fed boss Ben “helicopter” Bernanke’s veiled threat to
 unleash more so-called “Quantitative Easing,” known in simpler terms as
 creating new “money” out of thin air and pumping it into the economy by
 purchasing bonds. The dollar immediately took a hit against other major
 currencies.
 "The framework makes very clear that we need to be thinking about ways 
to provide further stimulus if we don't get improvement in the pace of 
recovery and a normalization of inflation," Bernanke said
 during a quarterly news conference after the Fed’s report was released.
 Analysts and central bank critics, already concerned about massive 
monetary “easing” in recent years, lambasted the idea that more money 
would solve the economic problems plaguing America.
 “If the Federal Reserve thought the economy was improving, it wouldn’t need this artificial prop to keep sustaining it,” said
 Euro Pacific Capital head Peter Schiff, noting that wild money printing
 was helping to drive the nation and its economy off a cliff. “The 
President and the Federal Reserve are now conspiring to create a much 
bigger crisis.”
 The Fed claimed it would be targeting a 2-percent rate of annual 
inflation for 2012. However, few analysts take the government’s 
“Consumer Price Index” (CPI) measure of inflation seriously — especially
 as Core CPI, one of the most frequently cited figures, omits price 
increases in key sectors like food and energy. 
 According to Schiff, the government’s claim based on CPI that inflation
 for 2011 was 3 percent is completely bogus. It was actually much 
higher, he said, noting that officials were using phony measures like 
the CPI to mask the true rate of inflation. And it is likely to be even 
higher in 2012 before eventually morphing into a full-blown currency and
 debt crisis in the coming years.
 “The reason they have to keep [interest rates] so low is to 
artificially support a phony economy,” Schiff explained. “This economy 
is a disaster waiting to happen — the only thing standing between us and
 economic Armageddon is zero-percent interest rates.”
 But it can’t go on forever, and the longer rates are kept so low, the 
worse the looming crisis will be. For now, Schiff, whose business trades
 gold and silver, said investors should protect their assets by 
purchasing precious metals “before the price goes any higher.”
 An analysis by Bloomberg published on
 Wednesday showed that gold — which has increased every year for more 
than a decade — provided the best return on investment over the last 
five years when adjusted for volatility. And heavy-hitting financial 
firms cited in the report including Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley are
 forecasting that gold prices will keep rising to around $2,000 in 2012 
or 2013.
 “People are still very under-invested in gold, and so there is a huge 
scope of that increasing,” explained UniCredit analyst Jochen Hitzfeld, 
the most accurate precious-metals forecaster tracked by Bloomberg over 
the past two years. Other experts noted that gold is widely and 
accurately perceived as a safe-haven in times of economic turmoil.
 While gold prices have been extraordinarily volatile — spot prices hit 
$1,923 in September before crashing to $1,523 by the end of 2011 — the 
longer-term rally has so far been relatively consistent over the past 
decade. Just 10 years ago, gold was worth less than $300 per ounce.
 Silver, which has also seen drastic price fluctuations, was less than $5 per ounce 10 years
 ago. In 2011, it surged to an all-time high of around $50 before 
dropping back down to about $33.35 today. The U.S. dollar, meanwhile, 
has not been doing so well — even when measured against other 
depreciating paper currencies.
 Even billionaire investor George Soros, whose well-publicized sale of
 some 99 percent of his gold holdings during the first quarter of 2011 
spooked precious-metals investors, has jumped back into the market. 
According to Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings cited by 
Bloomberg, the hedge-fund manager had increased his stake in SPDR Gold Trust, an exchange-traded fund tracking gold prices, to almost 50,000 shares as of September 30.
 Central banks around the world were also buying up multi-ton quantities
 of gold bullion, according to data cited in news reports. And the trend
 shows no signs of slowing down.
 In other bullish news for the precious metal, unconfirmed reports indicate India has started purchasing oil from Iran using gold rather than U.S. dollars. China could follow, too, according to news reports.
 "It shows the exodus from the dollar is gaining speed," noted
 precious-metals and currency trader Simit Patel on the investment 
analysis site Seeking Alpha. "With the major economies of the world 
facing $7.6 trillion in bond payments due this year, I think the tipping
 point for a shift out of dollars and into a new monetary system backed 
by gold is not as far off as it may seem."
 With the steep drop in prices during the last few months of 2011, some 
analysts and traders were reluctant to get back in the precious-metals 
market before the appearance of a solid bottom had solidified. But the 
big banks and respected analysts are forecasting that as long as the 
fundamentals — out-of-control money printing, sovereign-debt crises, 
wild government spending, and more — remain the same, gold and silver 
prices could see massive gains in 2012.